Election "Proof"

In order to believe that Harris

☭Biden won the 2020 election, one must accept all the following factors as true. Most of them I've drawn from an excellent article by "Z-Man" found here; well worth a read.

- Contrary to half a century of history, a sitting President can increase his vote total by 17%, yet lose the election
- An unexciting rival who hardly campaigned increased his Party's vote total by 23%
- After a 70-year average turnout of 38% of the population, in 2020 it leaped to 46%, the highest ever
- While the Democrats scored well in the Presidential race, they lost seats in Congress; the alleged Prez vote was against the general trend
- With vote counts during the night of Nov. 3rd showing a widening lead for Trump, suddenly a single large batch of votes flipped the lead to Biden, in Wisconsin...
- and Michigan
- and Pennsylvania
- and Georgia and some others.
I don't think this, improbable though it is, constitutes "proof of fraud" in the legal sense. Lawyers, not unreasonably, demand a differend kind of proof; fingerprints, documents, witnesses, DNA etc. With 150 million votes to examine during only a few weeks, that's unlikely to appear. But let's estimate just how large is the improbability.

Counting

1.0as the standard of normal, unsurprising, reliable and credible and0.0as wholly impossible, I've assigned a probabilty of truth to the eight factors above. You can do the same, and yours will differ. But for Biden to have won, all must be true; so the eight single probabilities must bemultiplied.

Factor # Probability 1 0.5 2 0.7 3 0.8 4 0.7 5 0.8 6 0.8 7 0.8 8 0.8 Overall 0.08 That is, the overall probability that Biden truly won fair and square is 0.08 or 8%. Correspondingly, the probability that the true winner is Donald Trump is 92%.

A fair name for the Biden administration is therefore a kleptocracy, and a neat nickname for Biden is "

8% Joe."Notice that my choices of probability are

generous to Mr Biden. Some would reason that Factors 5 thru 8, for example, warrant not 0.8 but 0.4 at most; for the graphs in this article indicate a grossly unbelievable counting pattern. Subsitute that figure, and the overall probability that Trump is the true winner rises to 99.5%